The ratings released last week, projected annual average inflation of 22% in 2022, slowing to 16% in 2023. Fitch's projection is better than Ghana government's revised projected end year inflation of 28.5% as presented by the Finance Minister, Ken Ofori-Atta, during the presentation of the
The downgrade reflects deterioration of Ghana's public finances, which has contributed to a prolonged lack of access to Eurobond markets, in turn leading to a significant decline in external liquidity.
The Covid-19 pandemic and the conflict in Russia have magnified Ghana’s fiscal and external imbalances, S&P said.
They believe the Bank of Ghana’s measures put in place to curb the consistent rise in inflation are either not working or the situation is not being diagnosed properly. Both, are thereby calling on the government through the finance ministry to consider other factors such as the fiscal space.
Year on year inflation is expected to worsen further in the coming months in the wake of the decision by the Public Utility Regulation Commission to hike tariffs of electricity and water as well as increase in transport fares by the transport operators in the country.
Dr Jerry Monfant, an economist has described the current managers of Ghana's economy as absolutely clueless about establishing good economic models to forestall the looming economic dangers.
The government is of the believed that expenditure cut alone will not be enough to revive the ailing economy and that the government’s focus is two-fold: to control expenditure and to raise more revenues domestically.
Fitch Ratings in a podcast said Ghana’s international reserves position has become very reliant on Eurobond issuance. Indicating that, Ghana is not in a situation where the government needs to constantly roll over hard currency debt or whose debt market is wholly reliant on non-resident investors. In supporting the Fitch's position, the University of Ghana economist noted